The Purdue University/CME Group Ag Economy Barometer reading jumped to 153 in July, up 27 points from June, and up 52 points from May.  While the Market Facilitation Program payments are a positive to farmers, this week's announcement that China will stop all purchases of U.S. ag products is a significant market loss.  Barometer results are based on a survey of 400 producers across the U.S. conducted from July 15th through July 19th, which was before USDA's announcement of 2019 MFP payment rates.

 

A big driver of sentiment was producers' improved expectations for current economic conditions.  The Index of Current Conditions, a sub-index of the ag barometer, increased 44 points in July to a reading of 141, marking the largest one-month improvement since data collection began in October of 2015.

 

The barometer's other sub-index, the Index of Future Expectations also increased, up 18 points from June, to a reading of 159 in July.

 

 

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