According to NASS, American farmers are expected to produce 1.17 billion bushels of winter wheat this year. The forecast, the first for winter wheat production in 2022, calls for an 8% drop from 2021.

As of May 1st, the U.S. yield is expected to average 47.9 bushels per acre, down 2.3 bushels from last year’s average of 50.2 bushels. Hard Red Winter Wheat production is forecast at 590 million bushels, down 21% from last year. Soft Red Winter Wheat is predicted to be 354 million bushels, expected to be a 2% drop from 2021. White Winter Wheat, at 230 million bushels, is up 38% from last year. Of the White Winter Wheat production, 15.7 million bushels are Hard White, and 214 million bushels are Soft White.

NASS surveyed roughly 9,300 producers from across the country in preparation for this production report.

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